“十二五”中國電力需求結構將發生明顯變化
發(fa)布日(ri)期:2011-12-01 瀏覽(lan)次數:5037
“十(shi)二(er)五”期間(jian),中(zhong)國(guo)電(dian)(dian)力需求結構將(jiang)發(fa)生明顯(xian)變化,工(gong)業用(yong)電(dian)(dian)比重將(jiang)不斷下降(jiang),而居(ju)民生活(huo)(huo)用(yong)電(dian)(dian)將(jiang)以(yi)一成(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)二(er)到(dao)一成(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)三的增(zeng)長(chang)率持續增(zeng)長(chang)。到(dao)2015年居(ju)民生活(huo)(huo)用(yong)電(dian)(dian)占全(quan)社會用(yong)電(dian)(dian)的比例將(jiang)上升到(dao)一成(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)五。 記者28日(ri)從中(zhong)國(guo)能源(yuan)研(yan)究(jiu)會獲悉(xi),在電(dian)(dian)源(yuan)建設方面,“十(shi)二(er)五”仍將(jiang)優先(xian)發(fa)展火電(dian)(dian),加快(kuai)西北部煤(mei)炭資源(yuan)豐富地區煤(mei)電(dian)(dian)基(ji)地建設,推行煤(mei)電(dian)(dian)一體(ti)化開(kai)發(fa)。預(yu)計期間(jian)火電(dian)(dian)開(kai)工(gong)規(gui)模3億(yi)千(qian)瓦,其(qi)中(zhong)煤(mei)電(dian)(dian)基(ji)地開(kai)工(gong)2億(yi)千(qian)瓦。
清潔能(neng)源(yuan)方面,預計到(dao)2015年全國常規水電(dian)投產裝機(ji)容(rong)量將(jiang)達到(dao)2.6億千瓦,抽(chou)水蓄能(neng)電(dian)站3000萬(wan)千瓦。核(he)電(dian)裝機(ji)將(jiang)達到(dao)4000萬(wan)千瓦左右。“十二五”期(qi)間(jian)將(jiang)集中建設大型光伏電(dian)站,到(dao)2015年太陽能(neng)光伏發電(dian)裝機(ji)容(rong)量有可能(neng)達到(dao)1000萬(wan)千瓦。
中國能(neng)源研究(jiu)會有(you)關專(zhuan)家指出(chu),目前中國電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供應(ying)存(cun)在區(qu)域性、時(shi)段性工序缺口,煤(mei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價格(ge)機制(zhi)不順(shun)是(shi)主因,電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)企業(ye)利潤波動(dong)較大(da),定價機制(zhi)有(you)待調整。為此,建議今后加(jia)強電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)煤(mei)市場監管,建立電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)煤(mei)價格(ge)的(de)約束機制(zhi),完善和落實煤(mei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)聯動(dong)政策,鼓勵煤(mei)企、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)企互相融合(he),取消計劃電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)量分配機制(zhi)以(yi)及加(jia)快推進(jin)大(da)用戶直(zhi)購電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)等。
中國能源(yuan)研究會副秘書長俞燕山強調,解決煤電矛(mao)盾的根本(ben)出路是電力(li)市場化改革。
